New London Architecture

Reducing carbon in healthcare

Monday 28 June 2021

Kristian Steele

Associate
Arup

As the world strives for a low-carbon future, it is imperative that all nations, sectors, and communities take urgent action to reduce emissions. In the context of healthcare, an essential service, such decarbonisation needs to be achieved while expanding access to care even as the climate crisis adds to the global burden of disease. Working with Health Care Without Harm (HCWH), an international NGO promoting climate leadership in the sector, Arup has recently published the Global Road Map for Health Care Decarbonization; making the case for climate-smart healthcare and providing guidance for health policy makers. 

This is second collaboration between Arup and HCWH; in 2019 together they published Health Care’s Climate Footprint, the world’s first estimation of the global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from health care, recognised in the 2020 IEMA Sustainability Impact awards

In the most recent report, Arup provided a new level of detail around the emissions embodied in goods and services in the sector’s supply-chain. Going further, we created detailed scenarios to forecast future emissions through to 2050, as shown in Figure 1. Together with HCWH, we explored the potential sector decarbonisation achievable through measures designed to meet existing Nationally Determined Contributions; further, high-ambition, decarbonisation measures across global industry; and actions driven by the health sector to reduce consumption of resources. This modelling facilitated the identification of broad range of policy recommendations, organised into three decarbonisation pathways (covering the sector’s direct emissions, emissions from its direct supply chain, and emissions in the wider economy driven by demand from the sector) and seven high-impact action areas (energy provision, buildings and infrastructure, transport, food procurement, pharmaceuticals, circular healthcare, and increased health system effectiveness). These provide a template for global sector decarbonisation in line with a target of limiting global warming to below 1.5°C.

Our modelling combined datasets describing global trading relationships and direct GHG emission inventories. Taken together, they give a full breakdown of supply-chain emissions for national health sectors and the global health system. Growth rate forecasts in healthcare demand at a national and global level were used, in combination with in-house industry decarbonisation forecasts, to predict future emissions trends. We engaged experts in health policy to design emissions mitigation measures and test their level of impact. Finally, we recommended actions organised in terms of the decarbonisation pathways and action areas.

Healthcare accounts for 4.4% of global GHG emissions. The study found that without decarbonisation action, increased demand for health services will triple annual emissions by 2050. Even if countries are successful in meeting their current Nationally Determined Contributions, emissions will still increase by 60%. This highlights the need for radical, structural, reform of health care delivery, as recommended in our report.

We are continuing our partnership with HCWH, working together to drive our shared vision of a climate-smart health system. This includes supporting national health systems as they develop their own decarbonisation road maps. We are excited to continue to use our understanding of emissions modelling and decarbonisation strategies to help organisations, sectors, cities and regions to reduce their environmental impact, and develop in line with the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals.


Kristian Steele

Associate
Arup


Education & Health

#NLAEducation #NLAHealth

Programme Champions

Bidwells
Creative Places
Penoyre & Prasad
Perkins&Will
Stanhope PLC

Related

Healthcare Expert Panel

News

Healthcare Expert Panel

Josephine Neill of IBI Group reports from NLA's latest Healthcare Expert Panel meeting, reflecting on the power of the n...

Where is the London healthcare estate heading in the next few years?

News

Where is the London healthcare estate heading in the next few years?

Ernest Fasanya of Hopkins Architects reports from the recent NLA Expert Panel on Healthcare

Redundant retail, a new home for education?

News

Redundant retail, a new home for education?

Can redundant retail property in London provide a new home for education, and might bringing education into our high str...

Stay in touch

Upgrade your plan

Choose the right membership for your business

Billing type:
All prices exclude VAT
View options for Personal membership